TFF of Europe

[Usagy]

Actually the thing from Saw 1 and 2 I am taking back.
Just heard today that it was written by Australion guys, so it is not the work of Americans, haha...so unlucky. They truly do fail.

Peace out

[Autumn]

It's gotten quite warm in England over the past few days, which has made it slightly harder to enjoy sleep. So the other night I played poker for four hours straight until 3am. It didn't go too badly, although towards the end my tiredness was affecting a few of my plays.

The variance on pots I win at PacificPoker is seriously frustrating me. Just now, I was playing a tournament and on my table was an extremely aggressive player. So I do what I usually do: I let him steal the blinds and then when I have a strong hand I take his stack. And I did, because the odds greatly favoured me when I went for it. After knocking him out, he got replaced by another very aggressive player. So I did the same. As the blinds went up he managed to steal quite a lot and bluffed some of my chips away and had about 900 chips more than me, so I couldn't knock him out in one go. Anyway, I held AK suited and he bluffs all-in and I call him; taking down his stack to 900. So he goes all-in a few times more and I just bide my time. For some reason, he doesn't go all-in preflop when I had A3 suited, which I played on the BB. The flop hits A-2-J rainbow and I bet the big blind size. He raises me all-in, so I call him. What does he have? Pocket fives. He should get knocked out here. But instead a five comes down on the turn and I lose. I wouldn't be so annoyed if I didn't know the probabilities, but here they are:

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js Ac 2d
cards %win %lose %tie
As 3s 91.52 8.48 0.00
5d 5h 8.48 91.52 0.00

Still, I had more chips than him and I proceeded to bide my time to knock him out as he builds up by bluffing a lot. I get dealt TT and he goes all-in pre-flop. Again, another chance to take him down so I call. He's got 6-T offsuit and I think I've gotten rid of him this time. Unfortunately, the flop comes down 7-8-9. Here are the odds for me and him this time round:

Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards %win %lose %tie
Tc 6h 6.69 90.11 3.20
Td Th 90.11 6.69 3.20

Once again, my over 90% chance of winning fails me and he takes half my stack. I just left the tournament.