Considering that the other friend will probably talk for 20 minutes. Let them go first and make yours short.
I usually go for the,
"Congrarulations on surviving this long, we're all very glad that you did."
If her parents are there, switch up to a more sincere tone and thank them for raising a great girl.
If the other friend steals your idea and makes theirs short too, wing it.
Cracking on the birthday girl is allowed as long as it is taken lightly and followed up by a compliment.
You gotta feel out the crowd.
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