Oh okay. I see it now. I had to write it all out on my own. I was incorrect in assuming its always 50% chance of getting the car because they'd take away the door, and you stated
So I'm thinking...Oh, well it's no problem. I wasn't understanding what you meant when you said:(Note that he will always open a door with a goat behind it and always ask you the following question.)
I was like: "Uh, of course they know they are going to take away a door with a goat, they do it every game." But I see what you are saying if we label A as Car, B as Goat 1 and C as Goat 2.Or else you'd have 1/2 chance from the beginning if you knew they would eliminate a goat automatically...
If you choose A they will take away B or C.
If they took away B, you can stay with choice A or C, and if you stayed with A, you're totally ****ed on winning the car.
If they took away C, you can stay with choice A or B, and if you stay withA, you're totally ****ed on winning the car.
0% chance of winning in that scenario.
I was fooled by the
Because I thought he'd always take away the goat, which I thought meant you automatically won the car if you picked it instead of the chance you could throw it away by picking it and staying with it.Do not be fooled by the revealing of the door with the goat behind it. It does not affect the chance of you having picked the right option of the 3, it just increases the chance that the car is in the remaining door you didn't pick.
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